Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyseng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lyseng are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Frem are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyseng hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the 3. Division, while Lyseng holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyseng
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Lyseng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20