Lyseklostervs
jerv
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
jerv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lysekloster 3-3 jerv
Original prediction
jerv
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.54 | 9.6% | 19.4% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.09 | 15.0% | 21.5% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 75.5% | 59.2% | -16.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
jerv
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
jerv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LyseklosterLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
jervWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lyseklosterjerv
33.3Attack59.0
8.3Defence57.7
0.0Form61.5
18.8Power60.9
1.09xG2.44