Lyra-Lierse Berlaarvs
Thes Sport
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 3-3 Thes Sport
Original prediction
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.0% | 46.4% | 13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 21.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.2% | 32.6% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00