Lyra-Lierse Berlaarvs
Roeselare Daisel
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roeselare Daisel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0-3 Roeselare Daisel
Original prediction
Roeselare Daisel
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.39 | 26.6% | 33.1% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 25.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.5% | 41.0% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Roeselare Daisel
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Roeselare Daisel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80