Lyra-Lierse Berlaarvs
Houtvenne
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Houtvenne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 0-1 Houtvenne
Original prediction
Houtvenne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 30.8% | 25.7% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.5% | 21.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 43.7% | 52.5% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Houtvenne
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Houtvenne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80