Lyra-Lierse Berlaarvs
Heist
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 3-2 Heist
Original prediction
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 32.7% | 41.7% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 25.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 40.8% | 33.2% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20