Lyon Wvs
Marseille W
COMPLETEDFrance · Feminine Division 1 · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyon W 5-0 Marseille W
Original prediction
Lyon W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 92.3% | 66.1% | -26.2 pts |
| Draw | 16.87 | 5.5% | 17.6% | 12.1 pts |
| Away | 42.92 | 2.2% | 16.3% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Lyon W
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Lyon W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lyon WWWDWW
GF 25 · GA 1 · avg 5.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Marseille WDDDWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lyon WMarseille W
100.0Attack53.3
80.0Defence60.0
100.0Form60.0
93.0Power61.4
2.31xG1.09