Lyonvs
Red Bull Salzburg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lyon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Red Bull Salzburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.3 against 64.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80