GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/26/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Lyon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LyonLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Olympiakos PiraeusLDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LyonOlympiakos Piraeus
80.6Attack63.3
55.6Defence46.7
61.1Form56.7
65.3Power55.7
2.83xG1.51
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