Lyonvs
Ludogorets
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/30/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lyon are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ludogorets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40