GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Lyon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while GO Ahead Eagles are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

81.5%

Model confidence

81.5%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LyonLWWDL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GO Ahead EaglesDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LyonGO Ahead Eagles
80.6Attack25.0
55.6Defence41.7
61.1Form29.2
65.3Power35.2
3.18xG0.70
View match centre →