LyonvsFenerbahçe

Lyon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.9% in the UEFA Champions League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.