Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lyon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FCSB are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80