GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Lyon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Basel 1893 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LyonLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC Basel 1893WWWLL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LyonFC Basel 1893
80.6Attack37.5
55.6Defence45.8
61.1Form25.0
65.3Power37.8
2.98xG0.89
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