Lyonvs
FC Basel 1893
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Lyon are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Basel 1893 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80