LyonvsCelta Vigo

Lyon are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Celta Vigo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.