Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyngby · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyngby 0-4 Silkeborg
Original prediction
Lyngby
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.4% | 47.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.1% | 25.4% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.5% | 27.4% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Lyngby
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Lyngby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LyngbyDWWDW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
SilkeborgDDDLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LyngbySilkeborg
41.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence50.0
29.2Form29.2
42.4Power40.5
1.41xG1.01