Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyngby · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyngby 1-1 Odense
Original prediction
Lyngby
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 44.4% | 38.4% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.6% | 26.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 30.1% | 34.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Lyngby
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Lyngby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LyngbyWLDLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OdenseWDLLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LyngbyOdense
40.0Attack26.7
33.3Defence60.0
13.3Form26.7
32.2Power40.7
1.26xG1.26