Lyngbyvs
FC Nordsjaelland
COMPLETEDDenmark · Superliga · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Nordsjaelland · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyngby 3-3 FC Nordsjaelland
Original prediction
FC Nordsjaelland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 24.8% | 17.0% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.9% | 20.7% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 51.3% | 62.3% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
FC Nordsjaelland
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
FC Nordsjaelland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60