Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brann W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyn W 0-3 Brann W
Original prediction
Brann W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.52 | 8.6% | 15.2% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.12 | 14.8% | 18.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.18 | 76.6% | 66.7% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Brann W
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Brann W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lyn WWLLLD
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Brann WLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Lyn WBrann W
61.9Attack100.0
59.5Defence90.5
45.2Form90.5
52.8Power89.7
1.00xG2.08