Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tromso are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyn holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80