Lynvs
Stromsgodset
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyn 1-5 Stromsgodset
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.71 | 19.5% | 19.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.8% | 19.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.8% | 61.6% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–48%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60