Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Strommen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (75.2 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyn holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80