Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Strommen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the 1. Division, while Lyn holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
8.3%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60