Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Lyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Stabaek are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
9.2%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20