Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyn 1-4 Ranheim
Original prediction
Lyn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.9% | 48.1% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.7% | 18.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.93 | 23.4% | 33.9% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–26%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LynWWDDW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RanheimWDDLL
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LynRanheim
57.6Attack78.8
33.3Defence13.6
42.4Form37.9
45.2Power43.7
3.23xG2.91