Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyn 1-0 Moss
Original prediction
Lyn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.7% | 44.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.4% | 19.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.9% | 35.4% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LynLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MossDWLDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LynMoss
51.3Attack51.3
26.9Defence29.5
35.9Form37.2
39.3Power42.0
2.35xG2.10