Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Lyn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Haugesund are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.2% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40