Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyn 1-1 Egersund
Original prediction
Lyn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.2% | 41.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 24.1% | 23.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.7% | 35.1% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LynDWWLW
GF 17 · GA 12 · avg 3.40/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
EgersundDLLWW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
LynEgersund
58.3Attack55.0
28.3Defence38.3
40.0Form45.0
43.1Power46.6
2.33xG2.22