Lyn IIvs
Sandefjord II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-3 (6%), 3-3 (6%), 4-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyn II 4-3 Sandefjord II
Original prediction
Lyn II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.6% | 48.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.4% | 18.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.0% | 33.8% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–36%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.4–46%
Predicted outcome
Lyn II
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Lyn II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 13 · avg 4.20/2.60
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80