Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Råde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-4 (6%), 2-4 (6%), 3-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lyn II 0-0 Råde
Original prediction
Råde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.7% | 33.4% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 21.0% | 19.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.4% | 47.7% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–46%
- 2.2–46%
- 3.3–36%
Predicted outcome
Råde
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Råde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lyn IILDLLW
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RådeLDWWL
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lyn IIRåde
74.6Attack100.0
25.4Defence36.5
47.6Form61.9
49.1Power61.6
3.13xG4.24