Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Lyn II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fram are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn II hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Lyn II holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn II
Probability
75.1%
Model confidence
8.3%
Lyn II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 11 · avg 4.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40