Luzinovs
Wisla Plock
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Plock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luzino 2-3 Wisla Plock
Original prediction
Wisla Plock
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.75 | 15.7% | 37.5% | 21.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.65 | 19.4% | 24.9% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 64.8% | 37.7% | -27.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Plock
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00