Luzinovs
Wda Świecie
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luzino 3-0 Wda Świecie
Original prediction
Luzino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.1% | 47.2% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.9% | 24.6% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 6.44 | 14.1% | 28.1% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Luzino
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Luzino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuzinoLWWWW
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Wda ŚwiecieLLDWW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LuzinoWda Świecie
58.3Attack50.0
58.3Defence66.7
58.3Form66.7
59.2Power64.8
1.73xG1.43