Luzinovs
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COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 9/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luzino 2-0 Noteć Czarnków
Original prediction
Luzino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.3% | 45.5% | -23.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.00 | 18.1% | 24.7% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 7.12 | 12.7% | 29.7% | 17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Luzino
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Luzino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80