Luzinovs
Lipno Stęszew
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 8/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luzino 2-1 Lipno Stęszew
Original prediction
Luzino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.6% | 54.2% | -19.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.49 | 16.5% | 23.3% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 9.23 | 9.8% | 22.5% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Luzino
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Luzino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuzinoLWWDL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lipno StęszewLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LuzinoLipno Stęszew
66.7Attack46.1
66.7Defence47.1
66.7Form50.0
68.0Power49.7
1.97xG1.16