Luzinovs
Lech Poznań II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luzino 2-4 Lech Poznań II
Original prediction
Luzino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.7% | 46.3% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.1% | 24.4% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.2% | 29.3% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Luzino
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Luzino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00