GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasiliense B · 9/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luziânia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Luziânia 2-1 Planaltina DF

Original prediction

Luziânia

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7751.0%51.4%0.4 pts
Draw3.3926.7%24.9%-1.8 pts
Away4.0622.3%23.7%1.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.3–18%

Predicted outcome

Luziânia

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Luziânia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuziâniaLWLDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Planaltina DFDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LuziâniaPlanaltina DF
81.0Attack33.3
61.9Defence66.7
42.9Form33.3
56.0Power45.3
2.54xG1.20
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