Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Luzern W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Zürich W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 16 · avg 0.20/3.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60