Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Luzern W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Zürich W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60