Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Luzern W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yverdon W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20