GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 11/18/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Luzern W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Young Boys W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luzern W

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Luzern WDLDWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Young Boys WLDWDD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Luzern WYoung Boys W
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.85xG1.51
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