GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 5/11/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Luzern W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luzern W

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Luzern WLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
St. Gallen WLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Luzern WSt. Gallen W
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.93xG1.53
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