GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 3/30/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Luzern W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luzern W

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Luzern WLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
St. Gallen WWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Luzern WSt. Gallen W
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.93xG1.53
View match centre →