Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Luzern W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sion W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sion W hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60