Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Luzern W are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Basel W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Basel W hold a 62.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20