Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Luzern W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Aarau W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luzern W hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80