Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Luzern II are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Basel II are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 46.7 against 46.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Luzern II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern II
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Luzern II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00