Luxembourg Wvs
Montenegro W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Montenegro W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luxembourg W 0-4 Montenegro W
Original prediction
Montenegro W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.17 | 12.7% | 28.1% | 15.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.37 | 16.9% | 25.7% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 70.5% | 46.2% | -24.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Montenegro W
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Montenegro W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 23 · avg 0.20/4.60
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40