Luxembourg U21vs
Estonia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luxembourg U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luxembourg U21 3-0 Estonia U21
Original prediction
Luxembourg U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.5% | 51.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.7% | 21.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.8% | 26.5% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Luxembourg U21
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Luxembourg U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60