Luverdensevs
Primavera MG
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luverdense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Luverdense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Primavera MG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Luverdense hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.6% in the Serie D, while Luverdense holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luverdense
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
22.6%
Luverdense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40