GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Luverdense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Luverdense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Primavera MG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Luverdense hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.6% in the Serie D, while Luverdense holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Luverdense

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

22.6%

Luverdense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuverdenseWDWLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Primavera MGLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LuverdensePrimavera MG
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence56.7
50.0Form40.0
51.5Power45.0
0.95xG0.59
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